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Matchday Maths

Bet within limits, or don't bet.

Matchday Maths is for adults who choose to bet and want better information. It does not make betting safe, and most people who bet lose money over time.

Get support now

  • Gambling Help: call 1800 858 858, free and confidential, 24 hours a day, anywhere in Australia. Online chat at gamblinghelponline.org.au.
  • BetStop, the National Self-Exclusion Register: block yourself from every licensed Australian online and phone wagering service in one step at betstop.gov.au.
  • Lifeline: call 13 11 14 if you are in crisis or need to talk to someone now.

What the numbers can and can't do

A probability is an estimate, not a promise. A side the model gives a 70% chance still loses three times in ten, and the model itself can be wrong about the 70%.

Positive expected value only shows up over a large number of bets, and long losing runs are normal along the way. The staking tools cap any single stake at 5% of your bank for that reason.

Signs it's time to stop

  • Betting more than you planned, or with money set aside for something else
  • Raising stakes to win back losses
  • Hiding how much you bet from people close to you
  • Betting when you are stressed, upset or have been drinking

If any of these sound familiar, the services above can help, and you can delete your Matchday Maths account at any time from the Account page.